Who will form govt, be PM? A swot analysis of 2019 Lok Sabha polls
Who will form govt, be PM? A swot analysis of 2019 Lok Sabha polls
HIGHLIGHTS
- Airstrike against Pakistan boosted Modi's strong image. BJP can pit “national” issues such as 7% growth, tax reforms, welfare schemes, and handling of difficult neighbours
- Regional parties like TMC, SP, BSP, DMK and YSRCP are seen to be strong on their respective home turfs, and pose a stronger challenge to BJP than Congress in several states
NEW DELHI: The 2019 poll battle has begun with the Election Commission announcing a seven-phase poll schedule from April 11 to May 19, culminating in the results on May 23. The big question is: who would form the government this time? While Modi is seeking a second term and pitching for a majority mandate, his opponents are attacking him for encouraging a culture of majoritarianism and failing to create employment and contain a crisis in agriculture due to low prices. The polls would be a stern test for Rahul too. TOI does a Swot analysis. Here's a look.
NATIONAL DEMOCRATIC ALLIANCE (NDA)
STRENGTH
PM Modi is seen as decisive leader. Airstrike against Pakistan boosted his strong image and BJP is looking to turn the poll into a presidential-type contest. He has strong pro-poor, anti-graft credentials. Amit Shah’s organisational skills are formidable.
WEAKNESS
SP-BSP and Congress-JD(S) alliances in UP and Karnataka pose a significant political challenge. Farm distress, jobs, GST’s teething troubles, hostility of minority communities, and sullenness among an influential section of dalits could be weak spots for BJP.
OPPORTUNITY
BJP can pit “national” issues such as 7% growth, tax reforms, welfare schemes, and handling of difficult neighbours against Rahul Gandhi’s inexperience and regional character of leaders like Mamata. Can expect good returns on its ‘stability’ card.
THREAT
Keyman risk of campaign rests heavily on Modi’s shoulders. BJP could face saturation in states it swept in 2014; breaking new ground may not be easy. BJP fighting ‘neutral’ parties like BJD, TRS, YSRCP threatens to make it BJP vs rest.
- Airstrike against Pakistan boosted Modi's strong image. BJP can pit “national” issues such as 7% growth, tax reforms, welfare schemes, and handling of difficult neighbours
- Regional parties like TMC, SP, BSP, DMK and YSRCP are seen to be strong on their respective home turfs, and pose a stronger challenge to BJP than Congress in several states
NEW DELHI: The 2019 poll battle has begun with the Election Commission announcing a seven-phase poll schedule from April 11 to May 19, culminating in the results on May 23. The big question is: who would form the government this time? While Modi is seeking a second term and pitching for a majority mandate, his opponents are attacking him for encouraging a culture of majoritarianism and failing to create employment and contain a crisis in agriculture due to low prices. The polls would be a stern test for Rahul too. TOI does a Swot analysis. Here's a look.
NATIONAL DEMOCRATIC ALLIANCE (NDA)
STRENGTH
PM Modi is seen as decisive leader. Airstrike against Pakistan boosted his strong image and BJP is looking to turn the poll into a presidential-type contest. He has strong pro-poor, anti-graft credentials. Amit Shah’s organisational skills are formidable.
WEAKNESS
SP-BSP and Congress-JD(S) alliances in UP and Karnataka pose a significant political challenge. Farm distress, jobs, GST’s teething troubles, hostility of minority communities, and sullenness among an influential section of dalits could be weak spots for BJP.
OPPORTUNITY
BJP can pit “national” issues such as 7% growth, tax reforms, welfare schemes, and handling of difficult neighbours against Rahul Gandhi’s inexperience and regional character of leaders like Mamata. Can expect good returns on its ‘stability’ card.
THREAT
Keyman risk of campaign rests heavily on Modi’s shoulders. BJP could face saturation in states it swept in 2014; breaking new ground may not be easy. BJP fighting ‘neutral’ parties like BJD, TRS, YSRCP threatens to make it BJP vs rest.
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